CBS Sports · NFL 2026 · weeks 1–5

Pete Prisco: NFL picks record, 2026 season

Best call: BAL over ATL · Week 5 · market 39.2% per the outlet's published record

Record so far

Pete Prisco is straight up 48-29-1 (62.3%) and against the spread 33-43-2 (43.4%).

Straight up: 48-29-162.3% of 77 decided · 95% range 51–72%
Against the spread: 33-43-243.4% of 76 decided · 95% range 33–55%
Current streak, straight up: W1Longest: 8 wins, 3 losses
Current streak, ATS: W1Longest: 6 wins, 7 losses

On the leaderboard: tied for No. 4 of 23 ranked straight up; tied for No. 10 of 12 ranked against the spread.

156 graded picks restored from CBS Sports pages after the games.

Titles
Every pick
By week
Check against the outlet
By team

Standing

Titles are facts about past picks, given by published rules. A title is not a recommendation. Title rules · How titles work

8 in a row · SU · Week 5 · market odds 1 in 49per the outlet's published record
Right against the crowd · SU · 7 times · e.g. CAR at CLE, 21 of 22 others wrongper the outlet's published record
6 outright upsets called · of 13 underdog picks · 2026per the outlet's published record

All titles (6)

Each title opens in place: what it means, how it compares, how often luck alone gives it and up to 10 of the picks behind it. Every pick, with the rule and the outlet pages, is on the picks behind each title page. When the pick was made: recorded by us, platform time stamp or archive copy (all before kick-off); outlet record (read after the game; the outlet's published record matches our recount); read after the game (can only lower a record).

Current

8 in a row · SU · Week 5 · market odds 1 in 49per the outlet's published record

8 straight-up picks right in a row (Oct 11). Market odds of that run: 1 in 49.

Period: 2026
Compared with: market odds of the run 1 in 49
How rare: ≈1 in 68 qualifying forecasters gets this by chance: in 40 seasons simulated at market odds, 0.6 of 41 got it on average. Held now by 4 of the 73 forecasters in the title count.

9 picks behind this title, oldest first, losses included.
Game	Pick	Result	When the pick was made
PHI at JAX Oct 11 · Week 5	JAX (-362)	Win PHI 17–19 JAX	Outlet record
CHI at GB Oct 11 · Week 5	GB (+111)	Win CHI 7–31 GB	Outlet record
CIN at MIA Oct 11 · Week 5	CIN (-323)	Win CIN 31–24 MIA	Outlet record
CLE at NYJ Oct 11 · Week 5	NYJ (-130)	Win CLE 12–17 NYJ	Outlet record
HOU at TEN Oct 11 · Week 5	HOU (-394)	Win HOU 26–3 TEN	Outlet record
IND at PIT Oct 11 · Week 5	PIT (-143)	Win IND 22–34 PIT	Outlet record
LV at NE Oct 11 · Week 5	NE (-198)	Win LV 17–45 NE	Outlet record
MIN at NO Oct 11 · Week 5	MIN (-137)	Win MIN 23–13 NO	Outlet record
DEN at LAC Oct 11 · Week 5	LAC (+151)	Loss DEN 23–17 LAC	Outlet record · ended the run

All 9 picks behind this title, with sources → · Title rules

Right against the crowd · SU · 7 times · e.g. CAR at CLE, 21 of 22 others wrongper the outlet's published record

Right 7 times straight up when most of the other tracked forecasters on the game were wrong, e.g. CAR at CLE: 21 of 22 others missed.

Period: 2026
Compared with: 21 of 22 others were wrong on the example game
How rare: ≈1 in 3 qualifying forecasters gets this by chance: in 40 seasons simulated at market odds, 13.4 of 41 got it on average. Held now by 45 of the 73 forecasters in the title count.

7 picks behind this title, oldest first, losses included.
Game	Pick	Result	When the pick was made
BUF at HOU Sept 13 · Week 1	BUF (-118)	Win BUF 36–31 HOU	Outlet record
DEN at KC Sept 14 · Week 1	KC (-147)	Win DEN 10–31 KC	Outlet record
CAR at CLE Sept 27 · Week 3	CLE (+123)	Win CAR 18–21 CLE	Outlet record
PIT at CLE Oct 1 · Week 4	CLE (+124)	Win PIT 24–27 CLE	Outlet record
CHI at GB Oct 11 · Week 5	GB (+111)	Win CHI 7–31 GB	Outlet record
CLE at NYJ Oct 11 · Week 5	NYJ (-130)	Win CLE 12–17 NYJ	Outlet record
BAL at ATL Oct 11 · Week 5	BAL (+145)	Win BAL 30–23 ATL	Outlet record

All 7 picks behind this title, with sources → · Title rules

6 outright upsets called · of 13 underdog picks · 2026per the outlet's published record

Picked 6 underdogs to win outright that did, out of 13 straight-up underdog picks.

Period: 2026
How rare: ≈1 in 3 qualifying forecasters gets this by chance: in 40 seasons simulated at market odds, 15.9 of 41 got it on average. Held now by 34 of the 73 forecasters in the title count.

10 of the 14 picks behind this title, oldest first: the latest 4 wins, 5 losses and 1 push, in about the same mix as the full list.
Game	Pick	Result	When the pick was made
JAX at DEN Sept 20 · Week 2	JAX (+125)	Loss JAX 13–20 DEN	Outlet record
MIN at TB Sept 27 · Week 3	TB (+105)	Loss MIN 23–16 TB	Outlet record
PIT at CLE Oct 1 · Week 4	CLE (+124)	Win PIT 24–27 CLE	Outlet record
IND at WSH Oct 4 · Week 4	WSH (+163)	Loss IND 30–13 WSH	Outlet record
LAR at PHI Oct 4 · Week 4	PHI (+138)	Loss LAR 24–20 PHI	Outlet record
ATL at NO Oct 5 · Week 4	ATL (+123)	Win ATL 45–24 NO	Outlet record
CHI at GB Oct 11 · Week 5	GB (+111)	Win CHI 7–31 GB	Outlet record
NYG at WSH Oct 11 · Week 5	NYG (+160)	Push NYG 27–27 WSH	Outlet record
DEN at LAC Oct 11 · Week 5	LAC (+151)	Loss DEN 23–17 LAC	Outlet record
BAL at ATL Oct 11 · Week 5	BAL (+145)	Win BAL 30–23 ATL	Outlet record

All 14 picks behind this title → · Title rules

Best call: BAL over ATL · Week 5 · market 39.2%per the outlet's published record

The correct straight-up pick with the lowest market chance on record: BAL over ATL in Week 5, when the market gave BAL a 39.2% chance.

Period: all time
How rare: ≈8 in 10 qualifying forecasters get this by chance: in 40 seasons simulated at market odds, 32.4 of 41 got it on average. Held now by 63 of the 73 forecasters in the title count.

The pick behind this title.
Game	Pick	Result	When the pick was made
BAL at ATL Oct 11 · Week 5	BAL (+145)	Win BAL 30–23 ATL	Outlet record

The pick behind this title, with sources → · Title rules

Right against the crowd · ATS · 8 times · e.g. DEN at KC, 10 of 11 others wrongper the outlet's published record

Right 8 times against the spread when most of the other tracked forecasters on the game were wrong, e.g. DEN at KC: 10 of 11 others missed.

Period: 2026
Compared with: 10 of 11 others were wrong on the example game
How rare: ≈6 in 10 qualifying forecasters get this by chance: in 40 seasons simulated at market odds, 9.2 of 16 got it on average. Held now by 45 of the 73 forecasters in the title count.

8 picks behind this title, oldest first, losses included.
Game	Pick	Result	When the pick was made
SF at LAR Sept 10 · Week 1	SF +3.5	Win SF 27–7 LAR	Outlet record
BUF at HOU Sept 13 · Week 1	BUF -1.5	Win BUF 36–31 HOU	Outlet record
DEN at KC Sept 14 · Week 1	KC -2.5	Win DEN 10–31 KC	Outlet record
NYG at LAR Sept 21 · Week 2	LAR -7	Win NYG 6–28 LAR	Outlet record
CAR at CLE Sept 27 · Week 3	CLE +2.5	Win CAR 18–21 CLE	Outlet record
NYJ at DET Sept 27 · Week 3	DET -6.5	Win NYJ 24–31 DET	Outlet record
CHI at GB Oct 11 · Week 5	GB +3	Win CHI 7–31 GB	Outlet record
BAL at ATL Oct 11 · Week 5	BAL +3	Win BAL 30–23 ATL	Outlet record

All 8 picks behind this title, with sources → · Title rules

Prime-time games · SU 8–7 · 2026 · field 39.4%per the outlet's published record

8–7 straight up in prime-time games (53.3%), 2026; the field average in this category is 39.4%.

Period: 2026
Compared with: field average 39.4%
How rare: ≈1 in 8 qualifying forecasters gets this by chance: in 40 seasons simulated at market odds, 2.9 of 23 got it on average. Held now by 1 of the 73 forecasters in the title count.

10 of the 15 picks behind this title, oldest first: the latest 5 wins and 5 losses, in about the same mix as the full list.
Game	Pick	Result	When the pick was made
IND at KC Sept 20 · Week 2	KC (-305)	Win IND 30–33 KC	Outlet record
NYG at LAR Sept 21 · Week 2	LAR (-347)	Win NYG 6–28 LAR	Outlet record
ATL at GB Sept 24 · Week 3	GB (-252)	Loss ATL 35–14 GB	Outlet record
LAR at DEN Sept 27 · Week 3	LAR (-138)	Loss LAR 26–30 DEN	Outlet record
PHI at CHI Sept 28 · Week 3	PHI (-229)	Loss PHI 7–27 CHI	Outlet record
PIT at CLE Oct 1 · Week 4	CLE (+124)	Win PIT 24–27 CLE	Outlet record
DET at CAR Oct 4 · Week 4	DET (-194)	Loss DET 26–32 CAR	Outlet record
ATL at NO Oct 5 · Week 4	ATL (+123)	Win ATL 45–24 NO	Outlet record
TB at DAL Oct 8 · Week 5	DAL (-488)	Loss TB 24–16 DAL	Outlet record
BAL at ATL Oct 11 · Week 5	BAL (+145)	Win BAL 30–23 ATL	Outlet record

All 15 picks behind this title → · Title rules

History

No earlier titles.

At the moneyline CBS Sports listed for each game, one unit on every straight-up pick would be down 2.89 units after 77 decided picks (-3.8% per pick). This is a separate measure from the win-loss record. CBS does not say when each moneyline was set.

Every pick

Week 5 · SU 10-3-1; ATS 8-6-0

Game	Straight up	Against the spread	Final	How we got it
TB at DAL Thu, Oct 8	DAL Loss	DAL -8 Loss	TB 24, DAL 16	Restored after the game
PHI at JAX Sun, Oct 11	JAX Win	JAX -6.5 Loss	PHI 17, JAX 19	Restored after the game
CHI at GB Sun, Oct 11	GB Win	GB +3 Win	CHI 7, GB 31	Restored after the game
CIN at MIA Sun, Oct 11	CIN Win	CIN -7.5 Loss	CIN 31, MIA 24	Restored after the game
CLE at NYJ Sun, Oct 11	NYJ Win	NYJ -2.5 Win	CLE 12, NYJ 17	Restored after the game
HOU at TEN Sun, Oct 11	HOU Win	TEN +7 Loss	HOU 26, TEN 3	Restored after the game
IND at PIT Sun, Oct 11	PIT Win	PIT -2.5 Win	IND 22, PIT 34	Restored after the game
LV at NE Sun, Oct 11	NE Win	NE -3.5 Win	LV 17, NE 45	Restored after the game
MIN at NO Sun, Oct 11	MIN Win	MIN -2 Win	MIN 23, NO 13	Restored after the game
NYG at WSH Sun, Oct 11	NYG Push	NYG +3.5 Win	NYG 27, WSH 27	Restored after the game
DEN at LAC Sun, Oct 11	LAC Loss	LAC +3.5 Loss	DEN 23, LAC 17	Restored after the game
DET at ARI Sun, Oct 11	DET Win	DET -4.5 Win	DET 45, ARI 21	Restored after the game
SF at SEA Sun, Oct 11	SEA Loss	SEA -3 Loss	SF 32, SEA 29	Restored after the game
BAL at ATL Sun, Oct 11	BAL Win	BAL +3 Win	BAL 30, ATL 23	Restored after the game

All Week 5 picks

Week 4 · SU 9-7-0; ATS 4-11-1

Game	Straight up	Against the spread	Final	How we got it
PIT at CLE Thu, Oct 1	CLE Win	CLE +2.5 Win	PIT 24, CLE 27	Restored after the game
IND at WSH Sun, Oct 4	WSH Loss	WSH +3.5 Loss	IND 30, WSH 13	Restored after the game
ARI at NYG Sun, Oct 4	ARI Loss	ARI -1 Loss	ARI 24, NYG 36	Restored after the game
DAL at HOU Sun, Oct 4	HOU Loss	HOU -2.5 Loss	DAL 34, HOU 30	Restored after the game
GB at TB Sun, Oct 4	GB Win	GB -3.5 Loss	GB 17, TB 14	Restored after the game
JAX at CIN Sun, Oct 4	CIN Loss	CIN -2.5 Loss	JAX 22, CIN 17	Restored after the game
LAR at PHI Sun, Oct 4	PHI Loss	PHI +3 Loss	LAR 24, PHI 20	Restored after the game
NE at BUF Sun, Oct 4	BUF Loss	BUF -6.5 Loss	NE 29, BUF 26	Restored after the game
NYJ at CHI Sun, Oct 4	CHI Win	CHI -3.5 Win	NYJ 12, CHI 23	Restored after the game
TEN at BAL Sun, Oct 4	BAL Win	BAL -11.5 Loss	TEN 18, BAL 24	Restored after the game
MIA at MIN Sun, Oct 4	MIN Win	MIN -11.5 Loss	MIA 10, MIN 15	Restored after the game
DEN at SF Sun, Oct 4	SF Win	SF -3 Win	DEN 14, SF 24	Restored after the game
KC at LV Sun, Oct 4	KC Win	KC -4.5 Loss	KC 30, LV 27	Restored after the game
LAC at SEA Sun, Oct 4	SEA Win	SEA -7 Push	LAC 23, SEA 30	Restored after the game
DET at CAR Sun, Oct 4	DET Loss	DET -3.5 Loss	DET 26, CAR 32	Restored after the game
ATL at NO Mon, Oct 5	ATL Win	ATL +2.5 Win	ATL 45, NO 24	Restored after the game

All Week 4 picks

Week 3 · SU 8-8-0; ATS 6-9-1

Game	Straight up	Against the spread	Final	How we got it
ATL at GB Thu, Sept 24	GB Loss	GB -6.5 Loss	ATL 35, GB 14	Restored after the game
CAR at CLE Sun, Sept 27	CLE Win	CLE +2.5 Win	CAR 18, CLE 21	Restored after the game
CIN at PIT Sun, Sept 27	CIN Loss	CIN -3.5 Loss	CIN 27, PIT 30	Restored after the game
HOU at IND Sun, Sept 27	HOU Loss	HOU -2.5 Loss	HOU 17, IND 19	Restored after the game
KC at MIA Sun, Sept 27	KC Win	KC -11.5 Win	KC 24, MIA 10	Restored after the game
LAC at BUF Sun, Sept 27	BUF Win	BUF -7 Win	LAC 16, BUF 24	Restored after the game
NE at JAX Sun, Sept 27	JAX Win	JAX -3 Win	NE 6, JAX 35	Restored after the game
NYJ at DET Sun, Sept 27	DET Win	DET -6.5 Win	NYJ 24, DET 31	Restored after the game
SEA at WSH Sun, Sept 27	SEA Loss	SEA -7 Loss	SEA 31, WSH 33	Restored after the game
TEN at NYG Sun, Sept 27	NYG Win	NYG -3 Win	TEN 7, NYG 12	Restored after the game
ARI at SF Sun, Sept 27	SF Win	SF -8.5 Loss	ARI 30, SF 36	Restored after the game
MIN at TB Sun, Sept 27	TB Loss	TB +1.5 Loss	MIN 23, TB 16	Restored after the game
BAL at DAL Sun, Sept 27	BAL Win	BAL -3 Push	BAL 34, DAL 31	Restored after the game
LV at NO Sun, Sept 27	NO Loss	NO -3 Loss	LV 35, NO 27	Restored after the game
LAR at DEN Sun, Sept 27	LAR Loss	LAR -2.5 Loss	LAR 26, DEN 30	Restored after the game
PHI at CHI Mon, Sept 28	PHI Loss	PHI -3.5 Loss	PHI 7, CHI 27	Restored after the game

All Week 3 picks

Week 2 · SU 9-7-0; ATS 6-10-0

Game	Straight up	Against the spread	Final	How we got it
DET at BUF Thu, Sept 17	BUF Win	BUF -4.5 Win	DET 31, BUF 41	Restored after the game
CAR at ATL Sun, Sept 20	ATL Loss	ATL +2.5 Loss	CAR 34, ATL 3	Restored after the game
CIN at HOU Sun, Sept 20	HOU Loss	HOU -2.5 Loss	CIN 20, HOU 6	Restored after the game
CLE at TB Sun, Sept 20	TB Loss	TB -8.5 Loss	CLE 23, TB 19	Restored after the game
GB at NYJ Sun, Sept 20	GB Win	GB -3.5 Loss	GB 20, NYJ 17	Restored after the game
MIN at CHI Sun, Sept 20	CHI Loss	CHI -5.5 Loss	MIN 9, CHI 3	Restored after the game
NO at BAL Sun, Sept 20	BAL Loss	BAL -8.5 Loss	NO 24, BAL 17	Restored after the game
PHI at TEN Sun, Sept 20	PHI Win	PHI -7 Loss	PHI 24, TEN 20	Restored after the game
PIT at NE Sun, Sept 20	NE Win	NE -5.5 Win	PIT 3, NE 20	Restored after the game
JAX at DEN Sun, Sept 20	JAX Loss	JAX +2.5 Loss	JAX 13, DEN 20	Restored after the game
LV at LAC Sun, Sept 20	LAC Loss	LAC -7 Loss	LV 26, LAC 14	Restored after the game
MIA at SF Sun, Sept 20	SF Win	SF -13.5 Win	MIA 13, SF 35	Restored after the game
SEA at ARI Sun, Sept 20	SEA Win	SEA -4.5 Win	SEA 31, ARI 7	Restored after the game
WSH at DAL Sun, Sept 20	DAL Win	DAL -3.5 Win	WSH 20, DAL 37	Restored after the game
IND at KC Sun, Sept 20	KC Win	KC -6.5 Loss	IND 30, KC 33	Restored after the game
NYG at LAR Mon, Sept 21	LAR Win	LAR -7 Win	NYG 6, LAR 28	Restored after the game

All Week 2 picks

Week 1 · SU 12-4-0; ATS 9-7-0

Game	Straight up	Against the spread	Final	How we got it
NE at SEA Wed, Sept 9	SEA Win	SEA -3.5 Loss	NE 10, SEA 13	Restored after the game
SF at LAR Thu, Sept 10	LAR Loss	SF +3.5 Win	SF 27, LAR 7	Restored after the game
ATL at PIT Sun, Sept 13	PIT Win	PIT -3 Win	ATL 13, PIT 20	Restored after the game
BAL at IND Sun, Sept 13	BAL Win	BAL -3.5 Win	BAL 41, IND 23	Restored after the game
BUF at HOU Sun, Sept 13	BUF Win	BUF -1.5 Win	BUF 36, HOU 31	Restored after the game
CHI at CAR Sun, Sept 13	CHI Win	CHI -2.5 Win	CHI 59, CAR 37	Restored after the game
CLE at JAX Sun, Sept 13	JAX Win	JAX -7.5 Win	CLE 10, JAX 34	Restored after the game
NO at DET Sun, Sept 13	DET Win	DET -7 Loss	NO 30, DET 31	Restored after the game
NYJ at TEN Sun, Sept 13	NYJ Win	NYJ +1.5 Win	NYJ 23, TEN 10	Restored after the game
TB at CIN Sun, Sept 13	CIN Win	TB +3.5 Loss	TB 27, CIN 33	Restored after the game
ARI at LAC Sun, Sept 13	LAC Loss	LAC -10.5 Loss	ARI 26, LAC 14	Restored after the game
GB at MIN Sun, Sept 13	GB Loss	GB +1.5 Loss	GB 22, MIN 39	Restored after the game
MIA at LV Sun, Sept 13	LV Win	LV -3.5 Win	MIA 13, LV 27	Restored after the game
WSH at PHI Sun, Sept 13	PHI Win	PHI -4.5 Loss	WSH 22, PHI 24	Restored after the game
DAL at NYG Sun, Sept 13	DAL Loss	DAL -2.5 Loss	DAL 20, NYG 28	Restored after the game
DEN at KC Mon, Sept 14	KC Win	KC -2.5 Win	DEN 10, KC 31	Restored after the game

All Week 1 picks

By week

W-L-P by week.
Week	Straight up	Against the spread
Week 1	12-4-0	9-7-0
Week 2	9-7-0	6-10-0
Week 3	8-8-0	6-9-1
Week 4	9-7-0	4-11-1
Week 5	10-3-1	8-6-0
Season	48-29-1	33-43-2

Check against CBS Sports

Compared with the season record printed on CBS Sports's picks page (page saved Oct 13, 2026, 03:10 UTC).

Straight up: CBS Sports shows 48-29-1; our count matches (48-29-1).
Against the spread: CBS Sports shows 33-43-2; our count matches (33-43-2).

By team

Record when picking each team

W-L-P. "Picked to win" counts picks on that team; "picked to lose" counts picks on its opponent.
Team	Picked to win	Picked to lose	ATS on them	ATS against
ARI Arizona Cardinals	0-1-0	3-1-0	0-1-0	2-2-0
ATL Atlanta Falcons	1-1-0	2-1-0	1-1-0	2-1-0
BAL Baltimore Ravens	4-1-0	—	2-2-1	—
BUF Buffalo Bills	3-1-0	—	3-1-0	—
CAR Carolina Panthers	—	2-2-0	—	2-2-0
CHI Chicago Bears	2-1-0	1-1-0	2-1-0	1-1-0
CIN Cincinnati Bengals	2-2-0	0-1-0	0-3-0	0-2-0
CLE Cleveland Browns	2-0-0	2-1-0	2-0-0	2-1-0
DAL Dallas Cowboys	1-2-0	1-1-0	1-2-0	0-1-1
DEN Denver Broncos	—	2-3-0	—	2-3-0
DET Detroit Lions	3-1-0	1-0-0	2-2-0	1-0-0
GB Green Bay Packers	3-2-0	—	1-4-0	—
HOU Houston Texans	1-3-0	1-0-0	0-3-0	1-1-0
IND Indianapolis Colts	—	3-2-0	—	2-3-0
JAX Jacksonville Jaguars	3-1-0	0-1-0	2-2-0	0-1-0
KC Kansas City Chiefs	4-0-0	—	2-2-0	—
LV Las Vegas Raiders	1-0-0	2-2-0	1-0-0	1-3-0
LAC Los Angeles Chargers	0-3-0	2-0-0	0-3-0	1-0-1
LAR Los Angeles Rams	1-2-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0
MIA Miami Dolphins	—	5-0-0	—	3-2-0
MIN Minnesota Vikings	2-0-0	0-3-0	1-1-0	0-3-0
NE New England Patriots	2-0-0	2-1-0	2-0-0	1-2-0
NO New Orleans Saints	0-1-0	3-1-0	0-1-0	2-2-0
NYG New York Giants	1-0-1	1-2-0	2-0-0	1-2-0
NYJ New York Jets	2-0-0	3-0-0	2-0-0	2-1-0
PHI Philadelphia Eagles	2-2-0	1-0-0	0-4-0	0-1-0
PIT Pittsburgh Steelers	2-0-0	2-1-0	2-0-0	2-1-0
SF San Francisco 49ers	3-0-0	0-2-0	3-1-0	0-1-0
SEA Seattle Seahawks	3-2-0	—	1-3-1	—
TB Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0-2-0	2-1-0	0-3-0	0-2-0
TEN Tennessee Titans	—	5-0-0	0-1-0	2-2-0
WSH Washington Commanders	0-1-0	2-1-1	0-1-0	2-2-0

Also at CBS Sports

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