NFL expert picks leaderboard, 2026 season
Who leads
Straight up: Tyler Sullivan (CBS Sports), 51-26-1. Against the spread: Jamey Eisenberg (CBS Sports), 46-30-2.
- 1 of the 12 ranked experts is above 50% against the spread.
- With about 79 picks each, the 95% range around a win rate is roughly 21 points wide. Most of these records overlap, so small gaps in rank mean little.
- Experts with fewer than 30 decided picks are listed under each table but not ranked.
How these picks were recorded: 2,989 picks restored from the outlets' pages after the games; 904 picks read after the games but time-stamped before kick-off by Tallysight; 114 picks recorded by us before kick-off. What the labels mean.
Straight up
| # | Expert | W-L-P | Win % 95% range | Picks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyler Sullivan CBS Sports | 51-26-1 | 66.2% 55–76% | 78 |
| 2 | Mike Clay ESPN | 51-27-1 | 65.4% 54–75% | 79 |
| 3 | Lindsey Thiry ESPN | 49-28-1 | 63.6% 52–73% | 78 |
| 4 | Dave Richard CBS Sports | 48-29-1 | 62.3% 51–72% | 78 |
| 4 | Jamey Eisenberg CBS Sports | 48-29-1 | 62.3% 51–72% | 78 |
| 4 | Pete Prisco CBS Sports | 48-29-1 | 62.3% 51–72% | 78 |
| 4 | Ryan Wilson CBS Sports | 48-29-1 | 62.3% 51–72% | 78 |
| 8 | Brooke Cersosimo NFL.com | 48-30-1 | 61.5% 50–72% | 79 |
| 8 | Eric Moody ESPN | 48-30-1 | 61.5% 50–72% | 79 |
| 8 | Jason Reid ESPN | 48-30-1 | 61.5% 50–72% | 79 |
| 8 | Pamela Maldonado ESPN | 48-30-1 | 61.5% 50–72% | 79 |
| 12 | Matt Bowen ESPN | 47-30-1 | 61.0% 50–71% | 78 |
| 13 | Dan Graziano ESPN | 47-31-1 | 60.3% 49–70% | 79 |
| 14 | Jared Dubin CBS Sports | 46-31-1 | 59.7% 49–70% | 78 |
| 14 | John Breech CBS Sports | 46-31-1 | 59.7% 49–70% | 78 |
| 16 | Dan Parr NFL.com | 46-32-1 | 59.0% 48–69% | 79 |
| 16 | Jeremy Fowler ESPN | 46-32-1 | 59.0% 48–69% | 79 |
| 18 | Bobby Kownack NFL.com | 45-33-1 | 57.7% 47–68% | 79 |
| 18 | Kalyn Kahler ESPN | 45-33-1 | 57.7% 47–68% | 79 |
| 20 | Ben Solak ESPN | 44-34-1 | 56.4% 45–67% | 79 |
| 20 | Gennaro Filice NFL.com | 44-34-1 | 56.4% 45–67% | 79 |
| 20 | Seth Wickersham ESPN | 44-34-1 | 56.4% 45–67% | 79 |
| 23 | Jeremy Bergman NFL.com | 42-36-1 | 53.8% 43–64% | 79 |
59 experts with fewer than 30 decided picks (not ranked)
| # | Expert | W-L-P | Win % 95% range | Picks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | Anthony Balaj Pride of Detroit | 10-4-1 | 71.4% 45–88% | 15 |
| — | Ben Natan Bleeding Green Nation | 10-4-1 | 71.4% 45–88% | 15 |
| — | Dave Mangels Bleeding Green Nation | 10-4-1 | 71.4% 45–88% | 15 |
| — | Gilberto Manzano Sports Illustrated | 10-4-1 | 71.4% 45–88% | 15 |
| — | James Dator SB Nation | 10-4-1 | 71.4% 45–88% | 15 |
| — | Mark Schofield SB Nation | 10-4-1 | 71.4% 45–88% | 15 |
| — | Ray Aspuria Silver And Black Pride | 10-4-1 | 71.4% 45–88% | 15 |
| — | Ricky O'Donnell SB Nation | 10-4-1 | 71.4% 45–88% | 15 |
| — | Warren Ludford Daily Norseman | 10-4-1 | 71.4% 45–88% | 15 |
| — | justin Pratt Gridiron Experts | 10-4-1 | 71.4% 45–88% | 15 |
| — | Nick Falato Big Blue View | 9-4-1 | 69.2% 42–87% | 14 |
| — | Anthony DelGenio Big Blue View | 9-5-1 | 64.3% 39–84% | 15 |
| — | Barry Shuck Dawgs By Nature | 9-5-1 | 64.3% 39–84% | 15 |
| — | Bill Williamson Silver And Black Pride | 9-5-1 | 64.3% 39–84% | 15 |
| — | Eric Thompson Daily Norseman | 9-5-1 | 64.3% 39–84% | 15 |
| — | James Bryer Gridiron Experts | 9-5-1 | 64.3% 39–84% | 15 |
| — | James McKinney The Phinsider | 9-5-1 | 64.3% 39–84% | 15 |
| — | Jared Mueller Dawgs By Nature | 9-5-1 | 64.3% 39–84% | 15 |
| — | Jared Mueller SB Nation | 9-5-1 | 64.3% 39–84% | 15 |
| — | John Whiticar Pride of Detroit | 9-5-1 | 64.3% 39–84% | 15 |
| — | Jonny Page Bleeding Green Nation | 9-5-1 | 64.3% 39–84% | 15 |
| — | Marek Brave The Phinsider | 9-5-1 | 64.3% 39–84% | 15 |
| — | Matthew Warren SB Nation | 9-5-1 | 64.3% 39–84% | 15 |
| — | Mookie Alexander SB Nation | 9-5-1 | 64.3% 39–84% | 15 |
| — | R.J. Ochoa SB Nation | 9-5-1 | 64.3% 39–84% | 15 |
| — | Shawn C Daily Norseman | 9-5-1 | 64.3% 39–84% | 15 |
| — | William Lafever Gridiron Experts | 9-5-1 | 64.3% 39–84% | 15 |
| — | Brandon Knapp Pride of Detroit | 8-5-1 | 61.5% 36–82% | 14 |
| — | Adam Henley Gridiron Experts | 8-6-1 | 57.1% 33–79% | 15 |
| — | Albert Breer Sports Illustrated | 8-6-1 | 57.1% 33–79% | 15 |
| — | Christopher Gates Daily Norseman | 8-6-1 | 57.1% 33–79% | 15 |
| — | Curtiss Brown Dawgs By Nature | 8-6-1 | 57.1% 33–79% | 15 |
| — | Erik Schlitt Pride of Detroit | 8-6-1 | 57.1% 33–79% | 15 |
| — | Eva Geitheim Sports Illustrated | 8-6-1 | 57.1% 33–79% | 15 |
| — | GA Skol Daily Norseman | 8-6-1 | 57.1% 33–79% | 15 |
| — | Jeremy Reisman Pride of Detroit | 8-6-1 | 57.1% 33–79% | 15 |
| — | Matt Holder Silver And Black Pride | 8-6-1 | 57.1% 33–79% | 15 |
| — | Mike Florio ProFootballTalk | 8-6-1 | 57.1% 33–79% | 15 |
| — | David Hartman Big Blue View | 7-6-1 | 53.8% 29–77% | 14 |
| — | Brandon Gowton SB Nation | 7-7-1 | 50.0% 27–73% | 15 |
| — | Brandon Lee Gowton Bleeding Green Nation | 7-7-1 | 50.0% 27–73% | 15 |
| — | Chris Pflum Big Blue View | 7-7-1 | 50.0% 27–73% | 15 |
| — | David Fucillo SB Nation | 7-7-1 | 50.0% 27–73% | 15 |
| — | John Pluym Sports Illustrated | 7-7-1 | 50.0% 27–73% | 15 |
| — | Matt Verderame Sports Illustrated | 7-7-1 | 50.0% 27–73% | 15 |
| — | Meko Scott Pride of Detroit | 7-7-1 | 50.0% 27–73% | 15 |
| — | Sam Buegler Daily Norseman | 7-7-1 | 50.0% 27–73% | 15 |
| — | Zac Snyder Pride of Detroit | 7-7-1 | 50.0% 27–73% | 15 |
| — | Alexis Chassen Bleeding Green Nation | 6-8-1 | 42.9% 21–67% | 15 |
| — | Chris Pokorny Dawgs By Nature | 6-8-1 | 42.9% 21–67% | 15 |
| — | Conor Orr Sports Illustrated | 6-8-1 | 42.9% 21–67% | 15 |
| — | Ed Valentine Big Blue View | 6-8-1 | 42.9% 21–67% | 15 |
| — | Ezweav Dawgs By Nature | 6-8-1 | 42.9% 21–67% | 15 |
| — | John Stolnis Bleeding Green Nation | 6-8-1 | 42.9% 21–67% | 15 |
| — | Mike Kadlick Sports Illustrated | 6-8-1 | 42.9% 21–67% | 15 |
| — | Mitch Goldich Sports Illustrated | 6-8-1 | 42.9% 21–67% | 15 |
| — | Kevin Nogle The Phinsider | 5-9-1 | 35.7% 16–61% | 15 |
| — | Sumeet Jena The Phinsider | 5-9-1 | 35.7% 16–61% | 15 |
| — | Ryan Mathews Pride of Detroit | 0-1-0 | 0.0% 0–79% | 1 |
Against the spread
Only outlets that publish spread picks appear here: CBS Sports, NFL.com, Daily Norseman, Pride of Detroit, Gridiron Experts and FOX Sports. NFL.com's spread picks come from each editor's predicted score. This week's spread picks
| # | Expert | W-L-P | Win % 95% range | Picks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jamey Eisenberg CBS Sports | 46-30-2 | 60.5% 49–71% | 78 |
| 2 | Dave Richard CBS Sports | 38-38-2 | 50.0% 39–61% | 78 |
| 3 | Bobby Kownack NFL.com | 36-42-1 | 46.2% 36–57% | 79 |
| 3 | Brooke Cersosimo NFL.com | 36-42-1 | 46.2% 36–57% | 79 |
| 5 | Ryan Wilson CBS Sports | 35-41-2 | 46.1% 35–57% | 78 |
| 6 | Dan Parr NFL.com | 35-43-1 | 44.9% 34–56% | 79 |
| 6 | Jeremy Bergman NFL.com | 35-43-1 | 44.9% 34–56% | 79 |
| 8 | John Breech CBS Sports | 34-42-2 | 44.7% 34–56% | 78 |
| 9 | Gennaro Filice NFL.com | 34-44-1 | 43.6% 33–55% | 79 |
| 10 | Jared Dubin CBS Sports | 33-43-2 | 43.4% 33–55% | 78 |
| 10 | Pete Prisco CBS Sports | 33-43-2 | 43.4% 33–55% | 78 |
| 10 | Tyler Sullivan CBS Sports | 33-43-2 | 43.4% 33–55% | 78 |
19 experts with fewer than 30 decided picks (not ranked)
| # | Expert | W-L-P | Win % 95% range | Picks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | James Bryer Gridiron Experts | 13-2-0 | 86.7% 62–96% | 15 |
| — | Will Hill FOX Sports | 5-2-0 | 71.4% 36–92% | 7 |
| — | Adam Henley Gridiron Experts | 10-5-0 | 66.7% 42–85% | 15 |
| — | Jeremy Reisman Pride of Detroit | 10-5-0 | 66.7% 42–85% | 15 |
| — | GridironExperts Gridiron Experts | 2-1-0 | 66.7% 21–94% | 3 |
| — | Eric Thompson Daily Norseman | 9-6-0 | 60.0% 36–80% | 15 |
| — | John Whiticar Pride of Detroit | 9-6-0 | 60.0% 36–80% | 15 |
| — | Warren Ludford Daily Norseman | 9-6-0 | 60.0% 36–80% | 15 |
| — | justin Pratt Gridiron Experts | 9-6-0 | 60.0% 36–80% | 15 |
| — | Anthony Balaj Pride of Detroit | 8-7-0 | 53.3% 30–75% | 15 |
| — | Christopher Gates Daily Norseman | 8-7-0 | 53.3% 30–75% | 15 |
| — | Brandon Knapp Pride of Detroit | 7-7-0 | 50.0% 27–73% | 14 |
| — | Meko Scott Pride of Detroit | 7-8-0 | 46.7% 25–70% | 15 |
| — | Shawn C Daily Norseman | 7-8-0 | 46.7% 25–70% | 15 |
| — | Zac Snyder Pride of Detroit | 7-8-0 | 46.7% 25–70% | 15 |
| — | William Lafever Gridiron Experts | 6-8-1 | 42.9% 21–67% | 15 |
| — | GA Skol Daily Norseman | 6-9-0 | 40.0% 20–64% | 15 |
| — | Sam Buegler Daily Norseman | 6-9-0 | 40.0% 20–64% | 15 |
| — | Ryan Mathews Pride of Detroit | 0-1-0 | 0.0% 0–79% | 1 |
Totals
Few outlets publish over/under picks, and we have one week of them so far.
No expert has 30 decided picks in this market yet.
12 experts with fewer than 30 decided picks (not ranked)
| # | Expert | W-L-P | Win % 95% range | Picks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | Meko Scott Pride of Detroit | 10-4-0 | 71.4% 45–88% | 14 |
| — | Eric Thompson Daily Norseman | 9-6-0 | 60.0% 36–80% | 15 |
| — | Warren Ludford Daily Norseman | 9-6-0 | 60.0% 36–80% | 15 |
| — | Sam Buegler Daily Norseman | 8-6-0 | 57.1% 33–79% | 14 |
| — | Christopher Gates Daily Norseman | 8-7-0 | 53.3% 30–75% | 15 |
| — | John Whiticar Pride of Detroit | 8-7-0 | 53.3% 30–75% | 15 |
| — | Adam Henley Gridiron Experts | 1-1-0 | 50.0% 9–91% | 2 |
| — | James Bryer Gridiron Experts | 1-1-0 | 50.0% 9–91% | 2 |
| — | Will Hill FOX Sports | 1-1-0 | 50.0% 9–91% | 2 |
| — | GA Skol Daily Norseman | 7-8-0 | 46.7% 25–70% | 15 |
| — | Shawn C Daily Norseman | 7-8-0 | 46.7% 25–70% | 15 |
| — | Ryan Mathews Pride of Detroit | 0-1-0 | 0.0% 0–79% | 1 |
Top records by week
| Week | Straight up | Against the spread |
|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | Brooke Cersosimo (NFL.com) and Tyler Sullivan (CBS Sports) 13-3-0 | Dave Richard (CBS Sports) 11-5-0 |
| Week 2 | Jared Dubin (CBS Sports) and Jeremy Fowler (ESPN) 12-4-0 | Brooke Cersosimo (NFL.com), Jamey Eisenberg (CBS Sports), Jared Dubin (CBS Sports) and John Breech (CBS Sports) 10-6-0 |
| Week 3 | Dave Richard (CBS Sports) 11-5-0 | Jamey Eisenberg (CBS Sports) 11-4-1 |
| Week 4 | Kalyn Kahler (ESPN) 13-3-0 | Bobby Kownack (NFL.com) 8-7-1 |
| Week 5 | Pete Prisco (CBS Sports) 10-3-1 | James Bryer (Gridiron Experts) 13-2-0 |